Submitted/ in preparation

Galleguillos, N., F. Gimeno, C. Puelma, M. Zambrano-Bigiarini, A. Lara and M. Rojas, 2020: Disentangling the effect of future land use strategies and climate change on streamflow in a Mediterranean catchment dominated by tree plantations. Submitted.

Urquiza, A., C. Amigo, M. Billi, R. Calvo, L. Gallardo, C. I. Neira, M. Rojas, 2020: An Integrated Framework to Streamline Urban Resilience in the context of Climate Risk Assessment. Under revision.

Rojas M., M. Minvielle, A. Gonzalez, A. Lara, A. Bahamondez, and R.D. Garreaud, 2019: Spatial and temporal rainfall variability in Western Patagonia from a Regional Climate Model. In preparation.


Correa, I.C, P.A. Arias and M. Rojas, 2020: Evaluation of multiple indices of the South American monsoon. International Journal of Climatology, DOI: 10.1002/joc.6880

Sapiains, R., C. Ibarra, G. Jimenez, R. O'Ryan, G. Blanco, P. Moraga and M. Rojas, 2020: Exploring the contours of climate governance: An interdisciplinary systematic literature review from a southern perspective. Environmental Policy and Governance.

Villaseñor, T., S. Celis, J.P. Queupil, L. Pinto and M. Rojas, 2020: The influence of early experiences and university environment in female students choosing geoscience programs: A case study at Universidad de Chile. Adv. Geosci., 53, 227–244,

Hawkins, E., Frame, D., Harrington, L., Joshi, M., King, A., Rojas, M. & Sutton, R. (2020). Observed emergence of the climate change signal: From the familiar to the unknown. Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e2019GL086259.

Flores-Aqueveque, V., Rojas, M., Aguirre, C., Arias, P. A., and González, C.: South Pacific Subtropical High from the late Holocene to the end of the 21st century: insights from climate proxies and general circulation models. Clim. Past, 16, 79–99, 2020,


Aguirre, C., Rojas, M., Garreaud, R.D. and D. Rahn, 2019: Role of synoptic activity on projected changes in upwelling-favourable winds at the ocean’s eastern boundaries. NPJ Clim Atmos Sci 2, 44 (2019) doi:10.1038/s41612-019-0101-9

Hoyos-Santillan, J., A. Miranda, A. Lara, M. Rojas, and A. Sepulveda-Jauregui, 2019: Protecting Patagonian peatlands in Chile. Science,

Bozkurt, D., M. Rojas, J.P. Boisier, R. Rondanelli, R. Garreaud and L. Gallardo, 2019: Dynamical downscaling over the complex terrain of southwest South America: Present climate conditions and added value analysis. Clim Dyn, 53: 6745.

Reynhutt, S.,A., E.A. Sagredo, M.R. Kaplan, J.C. Aravena, M.A. Martini, P.I. Moreno, M. Rojas, R. Schwartz, and J.M. Schaefer, 2019: Holocene glacier fluctuations in Patagonia are modulated by summer insolation

intensity and paced by Southern Annular Mode-like variability. Quaternary Science Reviews, Volume 220, p. 178-187,

Seth, A., A. Giannini, M. Rojas,  S.A. Rauscher, S. Bordoni, D. Singh and S. Camargo, 2019: Monsoon Responses to Climate Changes-Connecting Past, Present and Future. Curr. Clim. Change Rep., 5, 63-79, doi:10.1007/s40641-019-00125-y.

Ortega, C., G. Vargas, M. Rojas, J.A. Rutllant, P. Muñoz, C.B. Lange, S. Pantoja, L. Dezileau, and L. Ortlieb, 2019: Extreme ENSO-driven torrential rainfalls at the southern edge of the Atacama Desert during the Late Holocene and their projection into the 21th century. Global and Planetary Change, 2019, 175, p. 226-237. ISSN 0921-8181

Bravo, C., D. Bozkurt, A. Gonzalez-Reyes, D. Quincey, A.N. Ross, D. Farias and M. Rojas, 2019: Assessing Snow Accumulation Patterns and Changes on the Patagonian Icefields. Front. Environ. Sci., 19 March 2019 |

Rojas, M., F. Lambert, J. Ramirez-Villegas, and A. Challinor, 2019: Emergence of robust precipitation changes across crop production areas in the 21st century PNAS, doi/10.1073/pnas.1811463116

Barria, P., Rojas, M., Moraga, P., Muñoz, A., Bozkurt, D. and Alvarez-Garreton, C., 2019. Anthropocene and streamflow: Long-term perspective of streamflow variability and water rights. Elem Sci Anth, 7(1), p.2. DOI:

Lillo-Ortega, G., Aldunce, P., Adler, C., Vidal, M., Rojas, M., 2019. On the evaluation of adaptation practices: a transdisciplinary exploration of drought measures in Chile. Sustain Sci (2019) 14:1057-1069.


Boisier, J.P., Alvarez-Garretón, C., Cordero, R.R., Damiani, A., Gallardo, L., Garreaud, R.D., Lambert, F., Ramallo, C., Rojas, M. and Rondanelli, R., 2018. Anthropogenic drying in central-southern Chile evidenced by long-term observations and climate model simulations. Elem Sci Anth, 6(1), p.74. DOI:

Bozkurt, D., M. Rojas, J.P. Boisier and J. Valdivieso, 2018: Projected hydroclimate changes over Andean basins in central Chile from downscaled CMIP5 models under the low and high emission scenarios. Climatic Change, 150:131-147, DOI: 10.1007s10584-018-2246-7

Moreno, P.I., I. Vilanova, R. Villa-Martinez, R.B. Dunbar, D.A. Mucciarone, M.R. Kaplan, R.D. Garreaud, M. Rojas, R. De Pol-Holz and F. Lambert, 2018: Onset and evolution of southern annular mode-like changes at centennial timescale. Scientific Reports, 8, 3458 (2018), doi:10.1038/s41598-018-21836-6.

Nowajewski, P., M. Rojas, P. Rojo and S. Kimeswenger, 2018: Atmospheric dynamics and habitability range in Earth-like aquaplanets obliquity simulations, Icarus (2018), vol. 305, Pages: 84-90, doi: 10.1016/j.icarus.2018.01.002

2016 - 2017

Eichinger, R., Shaffer, G., Albarrán, N., Rojas, M., and Lambert, F.: An improved land biosphere module for use in the DCESS Earth system model (version 1.1) with application to the last glacial termination, Geosci. Model Dev., 10, 3481-3498,, 2017.

Rojas, M., Mac-Lean, C., Morales, J., Monares, A, and Fustos, R., 2017: Climate Change Education and Literacy at The Faculty of Physical and Mathematical Sciences of the University of Chile. Int. J. Global Warming, Vol. 12, Nos. 3/4, pp.347–365.

de la Fuente A, M. Rojas M and C. Mac Lean, 2017: A human-scale perspective on global warming: Zero emission year and personal quotas. PLoS ONE 12(6): e0179705.

Berman, A.-L., G. Silvestri, M. Rojas, and M. Tonello, 2017: Accelerated greenhouse gases versus slow orbital forcing induced climate changes in southern South America. Climate Dynamics 48 (1-2), 387-404, DOI 10.1007/s00382-016-3081-z.

Rojas, M., P.A. Arias, V. Flores-Aqueveque, A. Seth and M. Vuille: 2016: The South American Monsoon variability over the last millennium in climate models. Clim. Past, 12, 1581-1691, doi:10.5194/cp-12-1681-2016.

2014 - 2015

Bravo, C., M. Rojas, B.M. Anderson, A.N. Mackintosh, E. Sagredo and P.I. Moreno, 2015: Modelled glacier equilibrium line altitudes during the mid-holocene in the southern hemisphere mid-latitudes. Clim. Past, 11, 1575-1586, doi:10.5194/cp-11-1575-2015.

Arias, P., R. Fu, C. Vera and M. Rojas, 2015: Shortening of the North and South American monsoon seasons and their connection in the past few decades. Climate Dynamics, vol. 34 (11), pp. 3183-3203, doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2533-1.

Moreno, P.I., Vilanova, I., Villa-Martínez, R., Garreaud, R.D., Rojas, M. and De Pol-Holz, R., 2014: Southern Annular Mode-like changes in southwestern Patagonia at centennial timescale over the last three millennia. Nature Communications, Vol 5, pgs 1-7.

2012 - 2013

Rojas M., L. Li, M. Kanakidou, N. Hatzianastassiou, G. Seze, H. Le Treut, 2013: Winter weather regimes over the Mediterranean region, their links to clouds and surface climate: evaluation and Climate Change simulation of an Ocean-Atmosphere Regional Climate Model. Climate Dynamics. Vol 41 (3), pgs 551-571 DOI: 10.1007/s00382-013-1823-8. PDF

Seth, A., S.A. Rauscher, M. Biasutti, A. Giannini, S.J. Camargo, and M. Rojas, 2013. CMIP5 Projected Changes in the Annual Cycle of Precipitation. Journal of Climate, 26, 7328-7351, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00726.1 PDF

Rojas M., 2013: Sensitivity of Southern Hemisphere circulation to LGM and 4xCO2 climates. Geophysical Research Letters, Vol 40, 1-6,doi: 10.1002/grl.50195. PDF

Garreaud R., P López, M. Minvielle and M. Rojas, 2013: Large Scale Control on the Patagonia Climate. Journal of Climate, Vol. 26 (Issue 1), pp. 215-230.PDF

2010 - 2011

Rojas, M. and P.I. Moreno, 2011: Atmospheric circulation changes and Neoglacial conditions in the Southern Hemisphere mid-latitudes: insights from PMIP2 simulations at 6 kyr. Climate Dynamics, Vol 37, num 1-2, pgs. 357-375, DOI 10.1007/s00382-010-0866-3. PDF

Seth A., S.A. Rauscher, M. Rojas, A. Giannini, and S.J. Camargo, 2011: Enhanced Spring Convective Barrier for Monsoons in a Warmer World. Climatic Change Letters, Vol 104, num 2, pgs. 403-414, DOI 10.1007/s10584-010-9973-8 PDF

Seth A., M. Rojas, and S. Rauscher, 2010: CMIP3 Projected Changes in the Annual Cycle of the South American Monsoon.  Climatic Change, DOI 10.1007/s10584-009-9736-6.PDF

Menendez, C.G., M. de Castro, J-P Boulanger, A.D. Onfrio, E. Sanchez, A.A. Sorensson, J. Blazquez, A. Elizande, D. Jacob, H. Le Treut, Z.X. Li, M.N. Nuñez, S. Pfeiffer, N. Pessacg, A. Rolla, M. Rojas, S. Solman, and C. Teichmann, 2010: Downscaling extreme month-long climate anomalies in southern South America. Climatic Change DOI10.1007/s10584-009-9739-3. PDF

2008 - 2009

Rojas M., P. Moreno, M. Kageyama, M. Crucifix, C. Hewitt, A. Abe, R. Ohgaito, E. Brady, and P. Hope, 2009: The Last Glacial Maximum in the Southern Hemisphere in PMIP2 simulations. Climate Dynamics, Vol. 32 (4), pgs 525-548, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-008-0421-7. PDF

Kaplan, M., P.I. Moreno and M. Rojas, 2008: Glacial Dynamics in Southernmost South America during Marine Isotope Stage 5e to Younger Dryas time: A Brief Review with a Focus on Cosmogenic Nuclide Measurements. Journal of Quaternary Science. vol 23(6-7), pgs. 649-658 DOI:10.1002/jqs1209. PDF

2006 - 2007

Rojas, M. and W.A. Norton, 2007: Amplification of the 2-day wave from mutual interaction of global Rossby-gravity and local modes in the summer mesosphere. Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol 112, N 8, doi:10.1029/2006JD008084. PDF

Rojas, M., 2006: Multiple Nested Regional Climate Simulations for Southern South America: Sensitivity to Model Resolution. Mon. Weather Review, vol 134, pages 2208-2223. PDF

2003 - 2005

Seth, A., M. Rojas, B. Liebmann, and J.H.Qian, 2004: Daily Rainfall Analysis For South America from a Regional Climate Model and Station Observations. Geophys. Res. Lett., Vol. 31, No. 7, L07213 10.1029/2003GL019220. PDF

Rojas M. and A. Seth, 2003: Simulation and Sensitivity in a Nested Modeling System for South America. Part II: GCM Boundary Forcing. Journal of Climate, vol 16, No 15, pages 2454-2453. PDF

Seth, A., and M. Rojas, 2003: Simulation and Sensitivity in a Nested Modeling System for South America. Part I: Reanalysis Boundary Forcing. Journal of Climate, vol 16, No 15, pages 2437-2453. PDF


Mac-Lean, C., M. Rojas, L. Vargas and N. Vicencio, 2017:   Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptation in Higher Education Institutions: The Case Study of the Faculty of Physical and Mathematical Sciences at the University of Chile. In Climate Change Research at Universities. ISBN 978-3-319-58213-9 ISBN 978-3-319-58214-6 (eBook)

DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-58214-6, Library of Congress Control Number: 2017938560, © Springer International Publishing AG 2017.

IPCC, 2013: Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, L.V. Alexander, S.K. Allen, N.L. Bindoff, F-M Bréon, JA. Church, U Cubasch, S Emori, P Forster, P Friedlingstein, N Gillett, J M. Gregory, D L. Hartmann, E Jansen, B Kirtman, R Knutti, K K Kanikicharla, P Lemke, J. Marotzke, V. Masson-Delmotte, G.A. Meehl, I.I. Mokhov, S. Piao, G-K. Plattner, Q. Dahe, V. Ramaswamy, D.Randall, M.Rhein, M. Rojas, C. Sabine, D. Shindell, T.F.Stocker, L.D. Talley, D.G. Vaughan, S-P. Xie [Stocker, T. F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S. K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P. M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.  PDF

Stocker, T. F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, L. V. Alexander, S. K. Allen, N. L. Bindoff, F.-M. Bréon, J. A. Church, U. Cubasch, S. Emori, P. Forster, P. Friedlingstein , N. Gillett, J. M. Gregory, D. L. Hartmann, E. Jansen, B. Kirtman, R. Knutti, K. Krishna Kumar, P. Lemke, J. Marotzke, V. Masson-Delmotte, G. A. Meehl, I. Mokhov, S. Piao, V. Ramaswamy, D. Randall, M. Rhein, M. Rojas, C. Sabine, D. Shindell, L. D. Talley, D. G. Vaughan and S.-P. Xie, 2013: Technical Summary. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T. F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S. K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P. M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. PDF

Masson-Delmotte, V., M. Schulz, A. Abe-Ouchi, J. Beer, A. Ganopolski, J. F. González Rouco, E. Jansen, K. Lambeck, J. Luterbacher, T. Naish, T. Osborn, B. Otto-Bliesner, T. Quinn, R. Ramesh, M. Rojas, X. Shao and A. Timmermann, 2013: Information from Paleoclimate Archives. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T. F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S. K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P. M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. PDF

Rojas M., 2012: Estado del arte de modelos para la investigación del calentamiento global. Informe para Opciones de Mitigación para enfrentar el Cambio Climático, MAPS Chile. PDF

Rojas M., 2012: Proyecciones climáticas futuras y análisis de incertidumbre. En La Economía del cambio climático en Chile. Colección Documentos de proyectos, CEPAL, Naciones Unidas. PDF

McPhee, J., G. Cortés, M. Rojas, L. García, A. Delscalzi and L. Vargas, 2012: Downscaling Climate Changes for Santiago: What effects can be expected? In Climate Adaptation Santiago [Edits. Kerstin Krellenberg and B. Hansjurgens, Springer]

Cortés,G., S. Schaller, M. Rojas, L. Garcia, A. Descalzi, L. Vargas, and J. McPhee, 2012: Assessment of the current climate and expected climate changes in the Metropolitan Region of Santiago de Chile. In Climate Adaptation Santiago [edts. Kerstin Krellenberg and B. Hansjurgens, Springer.]

Marengo, J.A., J.D. Pabón, A. Díaz, G. Rosas, G. Avalos, E. Montealegre, M. Villacis, S. Solman and M. Rojas, 2011: Climate Change: Evidence and Future Scenarios for the Andean Region. Chapter 7 in “Climate Change and Biodiversity in the Tropical Andes”.  Edited by: Sebastian K. Herzog, Rodney Martínez, Peter M. Jørgensen, Holm Tiessen. 2011. Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research (IAI) and Scientific Committee on Problems of the Environment (SCOPE), 348 pp. ISBN: 978-85-99875-05-6. PDF

Aldrian, E., C. Oludhe, M. Bradwell, J. Garanganga, J. Pahalad, M. Rojas-Coradi, M.S. Boulahya, J. Ebinger, and M. Fischer, 2010: Regional Climate Information for Risk Management. World Climate Conference 3. Procedia Environmental Sciences 1 (2010) pgs 369–383. PDF

Rojas, M., 2008: Climate Change Impacts in Chile. Informe técnico para proyecto ALFAIII. PDF

Fuenzalida, H., M. Falvey, M. Rojas, P. Aceituno and R. Garreaud, 2006: Estudio de la variabilidad climática en Chile para el siglo XXI. Informe final CONAMA. PDF, ANEXO_FIGURAS

Rojas M., A. Seth and S. A. Rauscher, 2005: Relationship between precipitation and moisture flux changes in the SRES A2 scenario for the South American Monsoon region. CLARIS news issue 3. PDF